Is Vancouver more liberal or conservative

Canada's Prime Minister Trudeau is trembling at the election

Shortly before the polling stations in Canada open this Monday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's campaign team released one last video: It shows the 47-year-old climbing a mountain in Vancouver in a tight T-shirt. A dynamic Trudeau, a climate protector. The conservative challenger Andrew Scheer also had a video distributed. The 40-year-old also shows up in the forest. The unanimous opinion here: how boring.

But the majority ratios are not that clear. Recent polls see a neck-and-neck race between liberals and conservatives in the general election. Neither party will get an absolute majority of 170 seats in parliament in Ottawa. However, the direct candidates in many constituencies are so close together that it is difficult to make predictions.

He too is hoping for victory: challenger Andrew Scheer with a Conservative candidate in Vancouver

Justice Minister put under pressure

Trudeau, who has ruled with an absolute majority with his liberals for the past four years, has lost a lot of approval in the past few months. In the spring it became public that he had put his then Justice Minister under pressure to suppress investigations against the Canadian company SNC-Lavalin for bribery in Libya. It was only when an ethics committee later reprimanded him about it that Trudeau apologized.

In September, a 20-year-old picture appeared showing Trudeau with darkly made-up face - disguised as Aladdin - at a party. He apologized for his "racist" behavior, had always "been more enthusiastic about costumes than is sometimes appropriate."

Minorities, low income groups, NAFTA

But overall, the outrage in the population was less than Trudeau's opponents had hoped. Liberal supporters pointed out that Trudeau had actively involved minorities, that there was better support for low-income families and that the NAFTA trade agreement with the USA and Mexico, which was now about to expire, had been finalized.

Greta Thunberg at a climate demonstration in Edmonton, Canada last Friday

However, Trudeau's opponents complain that he did not keep some of his promises such as electoral reform or a balanced budget until 2019. Others feel that his climate policy is not far-reaching enough, despite the introduction of a CO2 tax.

Trudeau has lost support especially among left-wing voters. Many of the 37 million Canadians, many of whom tend to vote more liberally and left-wing, have nothing to do with the conservative Scheer's views on abortion or gay marriage, for example.

The small parties are the kingmaker

In the event of a necessary minority government - which is not unusual in Canada - the small parties would tip the scales. Among them, Jagmeet Singh's Social Democrats have recently been on the upswing. Like the Greens, these are politically closer to the Liberals. The regional party Bloc Bloc Québécois could also be decisive in the end.

At the end of the election campaign there was still prominent shooting aid from the neighboring USA. Ex-President Barack Obama called on Canadian voters via Twitter to give Prime Minister Trudeau a second term.

se / sti (afp, dpa, ap)